Using Machine Learning Techniques to Predict Hospital Admission at the Emergency Department.

Introduction: One of the most important tasks in the Emergency Department (ED) is to promptly identify the patients who will benefit from hospital admission. Machine Learning (ML) techniques show promise as diagnostic aids in healthcare. Aim of the study: Our objective was to find an algorithm using ML techniques to assist clinical decision-making in the emergency setting. Material and methods: We assessed the following features seeking to investigate their performance in predicting hospital admission: serum levels of Urea, Creatinine, Lactate Dehydrogenase, Creatine Kinase, C-Reactive Protein, Complete Blood Count with differential, Activated Partial Thromboplastin Time, DDi-mer, International Normalized Ratio, age, gender, triage disposition to ED unit and ambulance utilization. A total of 3,204 ED visits were analyzed. Results: The proposed algorithms generated models which demonstrated acceptable performance in predicting hospital admission of ED patients. The range of F-measure and ROC Area values of all eight evaluated algorithms were [0.679-0.708] and [0.734-0.774], respectively. The main advantages of this tool include easy access, availability, yes/no result, and low cost. The clinical implications of our approach might facilitate a shift from traditional clinical decision-making to a more sophisticated model. Conclusions: Developing robust prognostic models with the utilization of common biomarkers is a project that might shape the future of emergency medicine. Our findings warrant confirmation with implementation in pragmatic ED trials.

Using Machine Learning for Predicting the Hospitalization of Emergency Department Patients.

Artificial intelligence processes are increasingly being used in emergency medicine, notably for supporting clinical decisions and potentially improving healthcare services. This study investigated demographics, coagulation tests, and biochemical markers routinely used for patients seen in the Emergency Department (ED) concerning hospitalization. This retrospective observational study included 13,991 emergency department visits of patients who had undergone biomarker testing to a tertiary public hospital in Greece during 2020. After applying five well-known classifiers of the caret package for machine learning of the R programming language in the whole data set and to each ED unit separately, the best performance regarding AUC ROC was observed in the Pulmonology ED unit. Furthermore, among the five classification techniques evaluated, a random forest classifier outperformed other models.

Exploratory Clustering for Emergency Department Patients.

Emergency department (ED) overcrowding is an increasing global problem raising safety concerns for the patients. Elaborating an effective triage system that properly separates patients requiring hospital admission remains difficult. The objective of this study was to compare a clustering-related technique assignment of emergency department patients with the admission output using the k-means algorithm. Incorporating such a model into triage practice could theoretically shorten waiting times and reduce ED overcrowding.

Prediction of Hospitalization Using Machine Learning for Emergency Department Patients.

The objective of this study was to evaluate the predictive capability of five machine learning models regarding the admission or discharge of emergency department patients. A Random Forest classifier outperformed other models with respect to the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC ROC).

Predicting Hospital Admission for Emergency Department Patients: A Machine Learning Approach.

The objective of this study was to establish a machine learning model and to evaluate its predictive capability of admission to the hospital. This observational retrospective study included 3204 emergency department visits to a public tertiary care hospital in Greece from 14 March to 4 May 2019. We investigated biochemical markers and coagulation tests that are routinely checked in patients visiting the Emergency Department (ED) in relation to the ED outcome (admission or discharge). Among the most popular classification techniques of the scikit-learn library through a 10-fold cross-validation approach, a GaussianNB model outperformed other models with respect to the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

Admission and Discharge Following Ambulance Transport to the Emergency Department.

Emergency ambulance use is deemed necessary for the transport of acutely ill patients to hospital emergency departments (ED). However, some patients are discharged as they present low acuity or chronic problems and should receive primary healthcare services, while the most severely ill are admitted. In the present study, we examined the descriptive epidemiology of ambulance transports for emergencies in the ED by utilizing the data of the information systems of a public tertiary general hospital in Greece. More than half of the patients transferred to the ED by an ambulance were finally admitted to the hospital (52.25%), whereas only one-third (33.74%) of those transferred by other means. A statistically significant association was detected between ambulance use and hospital admission. Age was also statistically significantly higher in the ambulance group. Higher mean values of creatinine, CRP, LDH, urea, white-blood-cell count, and neutrophils were detected in the ambulance group, in contrast to hemoglobin and lymphocyte count which were higher in the non-ambulance group.

Analyzing Acute Care Surgery Patient Flow in the Emergency Department During COVID-19 Pandemic.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of visits in emergency departments (ED) worldwide decreased significantly based on several studies. This study aims to compare the patient flow in the emergency surgery department during the COVID-19 pandemic and a control period in the emergency department of a public tertiary care hospital in Greece. The overall patient flow reduction regarding the ED visits between the two examined periods was 49.07%. The emergency surgery department's corresponding visits were 235 and 552, respectively, which indicated an overall patient flow decrease of 57.43%. Chi-square analysis showed that age groups and ambulance use had statistically significant associations with the periods examined. An independent samples t-test was applied and deduced that the average patient's age was statistically significantly higher in the COVID-19 pandemic than in the non-pandemic period. By analyzing hospital information system data, useful conclusions can be drawn to prepare a surgical emergency unit better and optimize resource allocation in a healthcare facility in similar critical situations.